高信号
众院全国直通估计 —
OH moved 4 pp toward D across the long window.
TX moved about 3 pp toward D since spring; no significant new momentum since the Republican primary.
IA moved 4 pp toward R across the long window.
AK has no qualifying post-primary matchup polls.
0 个席位
向 D向 R
持平证据不足
卡片边框：当前 D 席 / 当前 R 席
How to read Senate cards
The line is raw polling D−R. PVI is a long-run baseline, not current support. The rating is a consensus category—not a probability—and the House transfer model is not applied to Senate races.
没有符合当前条件的席位。请放宽筛选。
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本页不输出胜率、席位数或因果判断。参院折线是原始民调，不等于评级；PVI 是结构底色，不等于当前支持率；众院边际是 provisional 全国传导估计；评级不转换为概率。